Search results for "Market sentiment"
showing 4 items of 4 documents
Equity Issues in the Spanish Stock Market: Windows of Opportunity, Earnings Management or Market Timing?
2005
We investigate whether the market sentiment and/or the specific operating performance of firms that conducted an equity issue on the Spanish stock market during the period 1993-2000 are related to the long-run stock-return underperformance in the year following the issue of small and medium firms. Our results reveal that equity issues were conducted by large firms just when the market showed optimistic expectations towards large firms in general. This overoptimism towards large issue firms was related to the 1990s technology boom in the case of initial public offerings (IPO), but we detect earnings management by large firms that conducted a seasoned equity offering (SEO). In this context, s…
Media Tone Goes Viral: Global Evidence from the Currency Market
2020
Using several million news and social media articles related to currencies, we examine the role of media tone in predicting the exchange rate returns of 12 developed and 24 emerging markets from 1998 to 2016. The text-based currency Media tone is a strong positive predictor of currency excess returns beyond fundamentals of one to three months ahead and six months cumulatively, with the average in-sample and out-of-sample R^2s of 4.45% and 9.03% in the US. The one-month predictability is observed in four other developed markets and 18 emerging market currencies, with the latter showing a stronger pattern. This predictability encompasses previous month currency returns, currency factors, macr…
Market valuation and acquiring firm performance in the short and long term: Out-of-sample evidence from Spain
2019
We investigate bidder’s short- and long-term performance in periods of high and low valuation market in response to announcements of acquisitions carried out by Spanish listed firms over the period 1991–2016. We find that acquirers of unlisted targets fully react at the announcement date in high valuation periods, meanwhile the underreaction of listed target bidders at the moment of the announcement in low valuation markets is the result of return continuations. In addition, we find that the market reaction do not depend on recent merger history. Therefore, we provide evidence that bidder reaction to acquisitions is not consistent with the predictions of market sentiment (optimism) after c…
Investor Sentiment or Managerial Overconfidence: The Back Room of Acquisitions
2017
In this study, we investigate bidder performance (both in the short and the long term) in periods of high and low valuation market in response to announcements of acquisitions carried out by Spanish listed firms over the period 1991-2011. We provide evidence that bidder reaction to acquisitions, in both the short and the long term, is not consistent with the predictions of investor sentiment (optimism) after controlling for target type. However, our findings after controlling for bidder market-to-book ratio reveal under reaction in acquisitions of listed targets that is not independent of the market sentiment, since it is greater in hot periods. Finally, the results are not so consistent fo…